Number 10 Indiana goes No. 1 in the game that should decide the Ten Middle East Division on Saturday (noon, FOX). 3 Ohio State.
Wasn’t that a prediction that was written in 2020?
The Hoosiers (4-0) came forward after beating Penn State, Michigan and Michigan State in the first four weeks of the season, as the media trial came under coach Tom Allen. Michael Penix Jr. Leads the Top Ten in past passes, and the Hoosiers will try to break the Buckeyes’ 25-game losing streak (3-0).
It will not be easy. Second-year coach Ryan Day has yet to lose a Big Ten game, and pre-run Heisman Trophy Justin Fields leads the conference with 11 points and 86.7 percent completion. Ohio State is a three-TD favorite in the top-10 show.
At this point the biggest part of the conference is the Football Playoffs. With that in mind, take a closer look at Saturday’s show here.
Indiana vs Ohio State
- Distribution: Ohio State -20.5
- Under: 64.5
- Point distribution elements: Indiana –110, Ohio State -110
The Buckeyes opened as a 21-point option, but the series dropped half a point this week. He pays homage to the Hoosiers in a competition in which he was not very successful.
Indiana vs Ohio Ohio series all-time
Ohio State leads the all-time 76-9-4 series against Indiana. The Buckeyes won 25 straight games on the field against the Hoosiers, although the 2010 competition was later canceled.
Indiana has not beaten the Buckeyes since 41-7 on October 8, 1988.
A LOT OF: The IU B1G opportunity is here
Three miles to know
– Buckeyes are 2-1 ATS on this day and 8-3 ATS under Day are not a home option. It is still a big spread that both teams are in the top 10.
– Indiana is 0-3 S / U against the Buckeyes under Allen. The Hoosiers lost those three meetings by an average of 30.7 points.
– The Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS this season, and that turns the pages against Penn State and Michigan as losers. They both played at Bloomington Memorial Stadium, Ind. Indiana has not won at the Ohio Stadium since 1987.
Three things to watch out for
– Michael Penix Jr. and Justin Fields. These two top ten quarters are in the Big Ten this season, and that’s a chance for Penix to prove it on the road. He averages 267.5 yards per game, and the Buckeyes allow 9.9 yards per game. The preferred target is Ty Fryfogle with an average height of 17.7 meters and will try his second in Ohio State, led by All-American Corner Shaun Wade. Fields works 1-2 with Garrett Wilson (344 yards, 2 TD) and Chris Olave (288 yards, 4 TD).
– Indiana pressure protection. The Hoosiers have averaged three bags per game, and the Buckeyes have allowed seven bags in three games. Can Indiana be enough to extend the Fields into third- and long-term – and will it matter? The state of Ohio was able to turn 58.3 percent of its third-quarter chances this season.
– Walking game. The Big Ten football is still being proposed on the running game, and the Hoosiers left the game with just 111.0 yards per game. If they can slow Master Teague and Trey Sermon, then they will have a chance. But that only if the Hoosiers can make more than 3.5 yards by lifting on the other side. Indiana cannot allow Ohio State pass rushers – especially Tommy Togiai and Haskell Garrett inside – to force the game.
Stat that matters
It is the Ohio State record against ten Big Ten opponents from Day to Day with the Ohio State employee as the offensive coordinator. The Buckeyes won those 12 games with an average of 39.5-20.4. Ohio State was 5-0 in coaching history last year, and it averaged 39.8-18.2.
Indiana must be burned. That’s a great opportunity for the program, and if Penix Jr. with the fast drive that Hoosiers puts in front of him, it is not surprising. In all three previous meetings, the number has been 7-3 after a quarter. The Buckeyes, like in those last three meetings, will take control from there. The field will drop a lot of TDs in the first half, and a pair of spins in the second half will lead to another impressive victory for the three-time Ten Ten champions.
Ohio State 45, Indiana 21